Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.363988 0.397591 0.433399 0.474480 0.520409 0.570293 0.628725
2025-12-14 0.304887 0.351272 0.404034 0.468843 0.546787 0.638108 0.754084
2025-12-21 0.264621 0.315552 0.376001 0.453707 0.551911 0.673195 0.836352
2025-12-28 0.245455 0.301170 0.369690 0.461233 0.581979 0.738149 0.959337
2026-01-04 0.229635 0.288613 0.363363 0.466592 0.607912 0.798302 1.080729
2026-01-11 0.215632 0.276714 0.356189 0.469190 0.629102 0.852625 1.198582
2026-01-18 0.203403 0.265897 0.349137 0.470648 0.647883 0.904190 1.316981
2026-01-25 0.193729 0.257619 0.344590 0.474717 0.670025 0.961811 1.450222
2026-02-01 0.181064 0.244223 0.331773 0.465510 0.671168 0.987105 1.533946
2026-02-08 0.173309 0.237157 0.327315 0.467996 0.689835 1.040704 1.669894
2026-02-15 0.164684 0.228244 0.319479 0.464570 0.698595 1.078666 1.782772
2026-02-22 0.158329 0.222216 0.315422 0.466486 0.715748 1.131587 1.928129
2026-03-01 0.150226 0.213240 0.306526 0.460342 0.719465 1.162581 2.038193
2026-03-08 0.142916 0.205069 0.298383 0.454821 0.723733 1.194876 2.155021
2026-03-15 0.134101 0.194128 0.285294 0.440233 0.711063 1.195265 2.208007
2026-03-22 0.130892 0.191670 0.285369 0.447488 0.737182 1.269222 2.421521
2026-03-29 0.127454 0.188644 0.284313 0.452653 0.759818 1.338647 2.635355
2026-04-05 0.123702 0.184911 0.281861 0.455156 0.777625 1.400264 2.840928
2026-04-12 0.119983 0.181035 0.278933 0.456561 0.793361 1.459132 3.048980
2026-04-19 0.116976 0.178161 0.277497 0.460482 0.814143 1.530316 3.297468
2026-04-26 0.111825 0.171519 0.269341 0.451610 0.809046 1.546351 3.412280
2026-05-03 0.108977 0.168580 0.267364 0.454006 0.826593 1.612843 3.666345
2026-05-10 0.105323 0.164123 0.262528 0.450704 0.832211 1.653477 3.859017